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Papers/Presentations

All presentations are in pdf format.

Monday, October 7, 2013
Monday Morning General Session
 

 Presiding: Michael Kaufmann, Oklahoma Tax Commission and Chair FTA Research Section     

 
Welcome     

 
Macro Economic Outlook
 Paul Edelstein, IHS Global Insights
 [presentation]   

 
Regional Economic Outlook
 Marisa Di Natale, Moody's Analytics
 [presentation]   
    
 
Federal Tax Reform and The States
 Thomas Neubig, Ernst & Young
 [presentation]   

 
Internet Commerce and the Sales Tax
 Professor William Fox, University of Tennessee
 [presentation]   

  


Lunch [with speaker]
 
Divergent Paths? State and Local Revenue Response to National Recessions
 Rick Mattoon, Senior Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
 [presentation]   

 
Concurrent Sessions

Concurrent Session I: Sectorial Outlook
 

 moderator: Michael Kaufmann, Oklahoma Tax Commission     

 
Retail Sector Outlook
 Michael Niemira, International Council of Shopping Centers
 [presentation]   

 
Housing Sector and Credit Outlook
 Amy Crews Cutts, Equifax
 [presentation]   

 
Automobile Sector Outlook
 Kim Hill, Center for Automotive Research
[note: large file]
 [presentation]   

 
Concurrent Session II: Issues in Data Base Analysis
 

 moderator: Ed Caplis, Montana Dept. of Revenue     

 
 
The Impact of the Most Recent Recession on the Level of Charity Contributions in the District of Columbia
 Farhad Niami & Betty Alleyne, District of Columbia Office of Revenue Analysis
 [presentation]   

 
Tuesday, October 8, 2013
FTA/NTA Joint Session - Effectiveness of Tax Credits/Incentives*
 

 Moderator: Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey, Department of Treasury     

 
State Fiscal Policies and State Economic Growth
 Therese McGuire, Northwestern University
 [presentation]   

 
Tax Credits: Lessons from Recent Research
 Lucy Dadayan, The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government     

 
 
Discussant:
 David Sjoquist, Andrew School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University
 [presentation]   

 

 * Session organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Department of Treasury     

 

 Questions & Answers
    

 
Concurrent Sessions

Concurrent Session I: Joint FTA/NASBO - Revenue Volatility
 
Panel:
 moderator: Brian Sigritz, NASBO     

 
Revenue Cyclicality and State Policy Options
 Leslie McGranahan, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank
 [presentation]   

 
Revenue Volatility: The Rhode Island Experience
 Paul Dion, Rhode Island Dept. of Revenue
 [presentation]   

 
North Carolina's Revenue Volatility
 Nathan Knuffman, North Carolina Office of State Budget & Managment
[contact FTA for presentation]
    


 
Concurrent Session II: Effectiveness of Tax Credits/Incentives - State Analysis
 

 Moderator: Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey, Department of Treasury     

 
 
 
Lessons Learned Analyzing Indiana's Income Tax Credits
 Heath Holloway Indiana Legislative Services Agency
 [presentation]   

 

 Discussants:
David Merriman, University of Illinois at Chicago
Roger Cohen, New Jersey Department of Treasury
Natalie Davila, Consultant
 [presentation]   
    

 
Sponsor Solution Series
 
REMI
Dynamic Fiscal and Economic Modeling: Insights from Medicaid Expansion to Tax Incentives for Manufacturing

 Chris Brown, REMI
Amy Harris, Iowa Department of Revenue
Greg Harkenrider, Kentucky Office of Economic Analysis
Darrin Webb, Mississippi Institutions of Higher Learning     

 
Chainbridge Software, LLC
A Comprehensive Approach to Modeling State Sales and Personal Income Tax Policy Changes

 Eric Cook and Kirk Copen, Chainbridge Software     

 
Concurrent Session I: Tax Policy Issues
 

 moderator: Fitzroy Lee, Dist. of Columbia Office of Revenue Analysis     

 
State Income Tax Reciprocity and the Minnesota Study
 Rod Hoheisel, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue
[large file]
 [presentation]   

 
 
Reforming and Rationalizing Tax Expenditures: Developing and Testing a Framework
 Jason Juffras, District of Columbia Office of Revenue Analysis
 [presentation]   

 
Concurrent Session II: Issues in Revenue Forecasting
 

 moderator: Derek Santos, Idaho Division of Financial Management     

 
 
Composite Forecasting in the Kentucky Sales Tax
 Greg Harkenrider, Kentucky Office of Economic Analysis
[preliminary version of presentation]
 [presentation]   

 
 
Wednesday, October 9, 2013
Wednesday Morning General Session
 

 Presiding: Michael Kaufmann, Oklahoma Tax Commission and Chair FTA Research Section     

 
Update on Research Roundtable Activities     

 
 
Household Financial Stability
 William Emmons, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
 [presentation]