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2015 FTA Revenue Estimating Conference - Presentations

All presentations are in pdf format.  
   [note, podcasts of selected presentations are still available on the old site]

Monday, September 28, 2015
Monday Morning General Session
 

 Presiding: Paul Dion, Rhode Island Dept. of Revenue and Chair FTA Research Section    

 
Welcome to Florida    

 
Macroeconomic Outlook
 Sara Johnson, IHS
 [presentation]  

 
Regional Economic Outlook
 Daniel White, Moodys Analytis
 [presentation]  

 

 Questions & Answers
   

 
Defining State Economic Development
 Norton Francis, Tax Policy Center
 [presentation]  

 
Dynamic Revenue Analysis: Experience of the States
 Peter Bluestone, Georgia State University
 [presentation]  

 
   

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Concurrent Sessions

SECTORIAL OUTLOOK
 

 moderator: Paul Dion, Rhode Island Dept. of Revenue    

 
Automobile Outlook
 Kim Hill, HWA Analytics
 [presentation]  

 
Housing Outlook
 Sam Khater, CoreLogic
 [presentation]  

 
Retail Sales Outlook
 Patricia Buckley, Deloitte Services LP
 [presentation]  

 

 Questions & Answers
   

 
   

 
SESSION II - Alternative Revenue Sources
 

 moderator: Jonathan Hart, Oregon Dept. of Revenue    

 
Taxation of E-Cigarettes
 Rod Hoheisel and Alex Hevern, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue
 [presentation]  

 
Taxation of Marijuana
 Larson Silbaugh, Colorado Legislative Council
 [presentation]  

 
Oregon's Tax on Marijuana
 Mazen Malik, Oregon Legislative Revenue Office
 [presentation]  

 
   

 
Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Joint FTA-NTA Session*
 

 moderator: Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Treasury Department    

 
Gambling Tax and Fee Revenues: The Past, The Present and The Future
 Lucy Dadayan, Rockefeller Institute of Government    

 
Trends in Gambling Policy
 Jonathan Griffin, NCSL
 [presentation]  

 
Gaming Tax Rates: Key to the Future
 Mike Pollock, Spectrum Gaming
 [presentation]  

 
Balancing Gambling Industry Competitiveness and State Revenues
 Randhir Jha, Indiana Legislative Services Agency
 [presentation]  

 

 Discussant: Norton Francis, Tax Policy Center
 [presentation]  

 

 * Organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Treasury Department    

 
   

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Concurrent Sessions

SESSION I - Revenue Estimating/Forecasting Modeling Techniques
 

 moderator: Karen Jacobs, Arizona Dept. of Revenue    

 
 
 
 
   

 
SESSION II - Impact of Tax Credits on Economic Activity
 

 moderator: Deying Zhou, Colorado Dept. of Revenue    

 
 
Analysis of Effectiveness of DC Qualified High Technology Companies (QHTC) Credit
 Yi Geng, Dist. of Columbia Office of Chief Financial Officer
 [presentation]  

 
Effectiveness of Electric Car Tax Credit
 Laura Wheeler and Mels de Zeeuw, Georgia State University
 [presentation]  

 
   

 
SOLUTION SERIES
 
A New Development: Microsimulation Property Tax Modeling
 Eric Cook, Kirk Copen and Jaime Copenhaver, Chainbridge Software, LLC    

 
   

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Lunch [with speaker]
 
Computer Based Income Tax Analysis and Revenue Estimation: A Historical Perspective
 George Sadowsky, Consultant [formerly with Treasury, OTA]    

 
   

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Concurrent Sessions

SESSION I - Dynamic Modeling
 

 moderator: Paul Dion, Rhode Island Dept. of Revenue    

 
 
Budgetable Dynamic Fiscal Notes
 Thomas Young, Utah Legislative Fiscal Analyst
 [presentation]  

 
Fundamental Tax Reform in Georgia, What Does REMI Have to Say?
 Peter Bluestone, Georgia State University
 [presentation]  

 
   

 
SESSION II - Property Tax Issues
 

 moderator: Ed Caplis, Montana Dept. of Revenue    

 
 
Property Tax Fairness Credit
 David Gunter, Maine Dept. of Revenue Services
 [presentation]  

 
 
   

 
Wednesday, September 30, 2015
Wednesday Morning General Session
 

 Presiding: Paul Dion, Rhode Island Dept. of Revenue and Chair FTA Research Section    

 
How Much is Enough?
State Rainy Day Funds & Tax System Volatility

 Matthew Schoeppner & Thomas Stinson, Minnesota
 [presentation]  

 
DC Annual Tax Rates and Tax Burdens Study-An Update
 Lori Metcalf, DC Office of Chief Financial Officier
 [presentation]